Rystad Forecast Sees Finland’s Data-Center Installed Capacity Reaching 5 GW by 2035
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Rystad Energy forecasts that Finland’s installed data-center capacity will increase from 0.8 GW in 2026 to 5 GW by 2035, potentially making it Europe’s fifth-largest data-center market. Separately, Google has agreed a 22-year, 507 MW power supply arrangement with Fortum from the Loviisa nuclear power plant, with deliveries planned from 2028.
- Rystad Energy forecasts Finnish installed data-center capacity of 5 GW by 2035, up from 0.8 GW in 2026.
- Data centers could account for around 15% of Finland’s electricity consumption by 2030, according to the forecast.
- Google’s Fortum agreement covers 507 MW of supply from Loviisa for 22 years, with deliveries planned from 2028.
- The expansion case increases the strategic importance of firm power supply and grid access for data-center development.
Rystad Energy expects Finland’s installed data-center capacity to rise from 0.8 GW in 2026 to 5 GW by 2035. If realised, the forecast would place Finland as Europe’s fifth-largest data-center market by that date.
The projected build-out would materially change the sector’s position in the national power system. Rystad estimates that data centers could account for about 15% of Finland’s electricity consumption by 2030. The available source also describes data centers as Finland’s largest electricity buyers, ahead of industrial companies, although it does not provide the measurement period or comparison methodology.
Power procurement is becoming a central consideration in that expansion. Google and Fortum have entered a 22-year agreement for 507 MW of electricity supply from the Loviisa nuclear power plant. Deliveries are planned to begin in 2028. The source does not specify what portion of Google’s data-center load the agreement will cover, or whether the 507 MW represents the full demand of any particular facility.
If Rystad’s projection is achieved, Finland could become one of Europe’s fastest-growing data-center markets. In that scenario, access to long-term baseload generation, grid interconnection capacity, and the integration of renewables with storage could become both a development constraint and a competitive differentiator for new projects.
The forecast points to a potentially rapid expansion in Finnish data-center demand and a materially larger role for the sector in generation and grid planning. The Google-Fortum arrangement also illustrates the importance of long-term access to predictable, low-carbon baseload power for large data-center operators, alongside variable renewable procurement.
- — / 10 октября 2026 г. · РусскийПервоисточник →